Pages

Thursday, January 19

India - Afghanistan Relations




Issue: How India may engage key Stakeholders in Afghanistan Peace and Redevelopment Process?

Recent Developments in Afghanistan:

After the recent terrorist attacks in Afghanistan, including the one which killed five UAE diplomats, Russia has “(urged) the warring parties in Afghanistan, primarily the leaders of the Taliban movement, to renounce violence and to take urgent action to launch intra-Afghan dialogue”.

Russian Approach: Russia has indeed been warming up to the Taliban for several weeks now. And on 27 December, Moscow hosted representatives from Pakistan and China to discuss the war in Afghanistan. Notably, no Afghan representative was invited. After the discussions, the three countries “expressed particular concern about the rising activity in the country of extremist groups, including the Afghan branch of IS (Islamic State)”, and advocated a “flexible approach to remove certain (Taliban) figures from (UN) sanctions lists as part of efforts to foster a peaceful dialogue between Kabul and the Taliban movement”.

It seems that Moscow genuinely believes that the IS is a bigger threat than the Taliban.

Analysis and Way Ahead:

Taliban cannot be trusted: A video released by the Taliban as recently as last month had flaunted its alliance with Al-Qaeda and proclaimed itself as the “hope of Muslims for reviving back the honour of the Muslim Ummah” and “for taking back the Islamic lands!”

Background of IS in Afghanistan: On the other hand, the IS fighters in Afghanistan are mostly made up of disgruntled jihadis of the Taliban. Many of them joined the IS during the Taliban’s battle for succession after the news of Mullah Omar’s demise surfaced in July 2015.

Why India doesn’t buy the IS theory? New Delhi is aware of these facts and is therefore not buying into the theory that the Taliban can be used to fight the IS. This flawed theory, India knows well, is propelled by the generals in Rawalpindi as it gives them an extended run of life in Afghanistan, the country they perceive to be their strategic backyard. And Pakistan was expected to play the IS card in order to make a comeback just when New Delhi’s role was about to receive a boost.

India in Afghanistan: India had just transferred four attack helicopters to the Afghanistan government to boost its fight against the Taliban. More military assistance seemed likely as the US was on board: The revival of the India-US-Afghanistan trilateral was announced in August 2016 by John Kerry, the US secretary of state.

India must not let its efforts in helping Kabul contain the Taliban be punctured by Russian overtures to Taliban.


In fact, India must begin to re-establish its contacts with the various ethnic groups in Afghanistan. In tough times, it is always better to have support on the ground rather than to rely merely on principled speeches to be delivered in international conferences on Afghanistan. India’s own experience of supporting the Northern Alliance during the Taliban’s reign from 1996-2001 is testimony to that.

Universal Basic Income





Issue: Can India Afford Universal Basic Income?

The government is reported to be considering a social security scheme in which it would introduce either a universal basic income or a dole restricted to the most vulnerable.

Can we afford it?

A universal basic income can be afforded only by a highly developed economy where government expenditure already accounts for upwards of 40% of GDP and tax collections are not far behind.

India, with a tax/GDP ratio of less than 17%, is not in a position even to fairly fund basic healthcare and physical infrastructure, besides sovereign functions of defence, internal security, currency and external relations.

Way Ahead:

Universal coverage of benefits must await greater levels of prosperity and internal cohesion.

A dole for the most vulnerable, on the other hand, is both feasible and desirable. More to the point, we already have it. It is called the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA). Its nomenclature is misleading. It is not an employment scheme, but a dole.

Willingness to turn up for doing manual work figures in the scheme as a foolproof self-selection method to make sure that the village landlords also do not end up claiming the benefit.

Setting a wage level that is close to a desirable minimum wage but below it was meant to put upward pressure on rural wages and prevent NREGA work from displacing actual rural wage work.


The task now is to refocus attention on the original NREGA scheme, channelling payments for work done under the scheme to Aadhaar-linked bank or post office accounts. 

Regulatory Body for Media




By Akshay More

Freedom of the press is the mortar that binds together the bricks of democracy -- and it is also the open window embedded in those bricks.Dr. Shashi Tharoor
-       
Issue: Is there a need for a regulatory body for the media?

While hearing a clutch of public interest litigations demanding a regulatory body for the media citing the failure of the government to regulate the content of broadcasts, the Supreme Court said that neither the judiciary nor the executive could carry out such supervision.

Cons of Setting up a Regulatory Body:

* The ruling is particularly important because the idea of objectionable content is itself arbitrary. It is often used to muzzle opinion inconvenient to the ruling dispensation. Indians love to censor.

* India ranks 133 among 180 countries in the latest press freedom index, and is considered to be one of the 13 most dangerous countries in the world for journalists.

* The media in India do not require more regulation, given the covert ways in which the State already exerts control over them. The withdrawal of government advertisements - on which newspapers and, increasingly, television news are greatly dependent - often forces the media to toe the line.

Way Ahead:

Regulatory bodies, such as the broadcasting content complaints council or the press council, already exist. The government should have no role to play if these institutions are doing their jobs.


At a time the media are being told not to cross certain boundaries, it is reassuring that the Supreme Court has, once again, underscored the freedom of speech and expression guaranteed to the press under Article 19 (1) (a) of the Constitution.

Saturday, January 14

Need Brings Greed, if Greed Increased, it Spoils Breed





You will find below a compilation of links to articles that will help in writing an engaging essay on ‘Need brings greed…breed.’

No business like politics in India; re-elected leaders triple wealth


How Urban Greed Washed Away the Accummulated Wisdom of India’s Past


Genetically-modified food: For human need or corporate greed?


India’s farmer suicides: film indicts US corporate greed


Greed drives child exploitation in India, says Nobel prize winner


Greed, apathy destroying east Kolkata wetlands


Capitalism v environment: can greed ever be green?


Francis warns greed of man will 'destroy the world': Pope says earth will not forgive abuse of its resources for profit and urges world leaders to help the hungry


Disasters, Arrogance and Greed: From The Titanic to Fukushima


Pope Francis: Technology + greed = disaster


Bhopal: A living legacy of corporate greed



Note: If you are interested in joining SHER IAS’s essay writing program, you may get in touch with us.


Friday, January 13

Strategic Partnership




By Akshay More

Why are we discussing this issue? India’s decision to sign a strategic partnership with east African country of Rwanda, after Prime Minister Narendra Modi met Rwandan President Paul Kagame in Gandhinagar this week
Over the past two decades, India has upgraded over 30 bilateral relationships to strategic partnerships. Let us try to understand what the term ‘strategic partnership’ means, and what is the rationale and pros & cons of the above trend.

Plausible Definitions of ‘Strategic Partnerships’

* The Oxford Dictionary defines strategic as anything relating to long term interests and goals; a strategic partnership, by extension, would relate to long term shared interests and ways of achieving them.

* It defines a bilateral relationship more important than others, but stops short of an actual alliance. The term “strategic” further implies a future convergence of interests in areas that are vital: security, defence and investment.

* Strategic partnerships are commonly associated with defense or security related issues, but a survey of formal strategic partnerships around the world reveal they can also be quite a hold-all, covering a wide range in bilateral relations, from defense to education, health and agriculture, and quite commonly, economic relations, including trade, investment and banking.

* “Strategic partnerships” are declarative instruments of policy for India – an effort to “underline its commitment to build a longer-term relationship … by deepening ties and promoting convergence in external policies on issues of mutual interest.
Some scholars of international relations theory have argued against a set definition, arguing that each agreement belongs to a specific time and context, and thus has its own meaning. Some have even argued that the phrase is nothing more than nomenclature, and parties use it to project a higher status to their ties. "Strategic partnership" is merely declaratory. No formal document has been signed by India that defines what the term means and what binding obligations India and its strategic partner are accepting in terms of their bilateral relations or external action in general.

Cons of so many Strategic Partnerships

Critical Analysis of Rwandan Decision: Rwanda is a land-locked country with 90 per cent of its population engaged in subsistence agriculture. It is also still recovering from the mass murder of large sections of its Hutu population in 1994, though the country has registered remarkable progress and growth in the last few years. While it may therefore be an important destination for India’s development assistance, it is difficult to see how it qualifies as a “strategic partner”, particularly given that India is yet to set up a full diplomatic mission in the country; the last time New Delhi even sent a delegation to Kigali was in 2012. Given all of this, it would seem that the government’s move was more about window-dressing the relationship than imbuing it with any meaningful substance.

Is there any Differentiation? The nomenclature ‘strategic partnership’ also begs question: if all the countries on the list are strategically important, what does this mean for countries on the UN Security Council such as the U.S., the U.K., France, Russia and China, or others such as Japan, Australia, and some of the neighbours who genuinely contribute to India’s security and economic interests and who have also signed strategic-partnership agreements with New Delhi?

Moreover, why does India – at least formally and rhetorically – grant the same level of diplomatic elevation to its relationship with China as it does to its relationship with the United States and Japan? (Note: All three are strategic partners)

Mistrust of Outsiders: The “strategic partnership” model is often deeply frustrating for outsiders looking towards India. American experts have a perception that India’s so-called strategic autonomy in this regard can be seen more as dilly-dallying – a criticism that echoes from the days of outright non-alignment. India remains partially tethered to the underlying strategic logic of non-alignment, even though its policymakers see a clear hierarchy in its foreign relations today.

Pros of so many Strategic Partnerships 

After the declaration of a strategic partnership, India doesn’t immediately fast-track relations to expand along all axes – it is rather more prone to take its time and weigh the pros and cons of deeper engagement very seriously.

The “strategic partnership” model downplays non-alignment in favor of “strategic autonomy.”

Another misconception about India’s strategic partnerships is that they all entail the same level of engagement. In reality, there is a hierarchy that is well appreciated by the foreign policy community in India. In a report issued by a group of experts (including Sibal) from the Foundation for National Security Research in New Delhi called “India’s Strategic Partners: A Comparative Assessment,” the authors methodically rank India’s top strategic partners with a corresponding score out of 90 points. In the final ranking, Russia comes out on top with 62, followed by the United States (58), France (51), UK (41), Germany (37), and Japan (34).

It allows a nation that has not entirely shed its non-aligned roots to experiment with comprehensive diplomatic engagement like never before. It’s a form of beneficial ambiguity for India: the foreign policy equivalent of a first date. If things go well, India may be likely to take things more seriously and ultimately begin using that long-dreaded A-word (alliance).

Way Ahead

Clearly, a more cogent policy with clear-cut criteria for strategic partnerships must be considered by the Ministry of External Affairs, with the focus on countries with which there is a long-term vision on securing India’s needs, coupled with a convergence of strategic interests.

Note:

Some of India’s Strategic Partners: US, France, UK, Germany, the European Union, Japan and Australia on the one hand, and Russia, Brazil, Nigeria, Vietnam, Kazakhstan, Afghanistan and Iran

What gives India its heft as indicated by willingness of a myriad number of countries to engage deeply with it?

* India's arrival on the global stage as a growing economic power;
* The acknowledgement of its democracy and its shared values with the democratic world;
* Its neighbourhood, with the Afpak region on one side, China on the other;
* As well as it having the second largest population in the world.

Multiple ‘Strategic Partnerships’ is in a way extension of Non-Alignment Policy. Discuss.

India has been historically non-aligned. Whether it was an ideology or a strategy or both can be debated. It did not suit India's national interest to get embroiled in Cold War rivalries. Its interest was to maintain good relations with countries from both blocs and get benefits from both, which it did.

It is still in India's interest to be on friendly terms with all countries and create beneficial partnerships wherever it can.

Earlier, it was more difficult because of Cold War antagonisms that put pressure on countries to choose sides. Today it is easier as such distortions in international politics have disappeared.

Our "strategic partnerships" with countries in all the continents, some great powers and others not, some highly advanced economically and others developing or emerging economies, some established democracies and others with authoritarian regimes, is compatible with our philosophy of engaging with countries with a variety of political and economic profiles, without any desire to get caught in rivalries or threaten peace and stability.

In a sense, this is an extension of non-alignment in the context of the new world of globalisation, interdependence, connectivity and multi-polarity.


Some call this "multi-alignment", but this is not an accurate description as India is not entering into multiple alliances. Others, more accurately, call this "strategic autonomy" as the concept conveys independence of decision making in a flexible mode.

Monday, January 2

ILO Report on Wage Disparity in India


IPSC IAS GS Mumbai Thane SHER IAS ACADEMY INSTITUTE CLASSES(What’s up with our Twitterati!)

Ignoring a serious problem or pretending that it does not exist will not make it go away.

The International Labour Organization drove home this uncomfortable truth once again with data from its Global Wage Report for 2016-17. The findings are neither unexpected nor new, but they certainly are appalling - in the fourth consecutive year of declining global wage growth, women continue to be overworked and underpaid all over the world.

India had among the worst levels of gender wage disparity — men earning more than women in similar jobs — with the gap exceeding 30 per cent.

Women also constitute 63 per cent of the lowest paid Indians, and a meagre 15 per cent of the highest earning ones.

Among the major economies studied in the report, only South Korea surpasses India in terms of the hourly wage gap (37%). Apart from Dadra and Nagar Haveli and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, men in India earn more than women everywhere.

Reasons for above trends:

Delving into the reasons for the wage gap, the report noted that typically, women’s educational choices produced occupational segregation. For instance, since the majority of those who studied nursing were women, “this profession is over-represented among women”.

At the same time, care work is undervalued because it may be seen as a natural female attribute rather than a skill to be acquired. Thus, a higher representation of women in sectors where their work is undervalued results in a gender pay gap.

Analysis of above reasoning:

Education alone can’t be blamed: It is easy to attribute the plight of Indian women to a lack of access to education, which sabotages their chances at getting well-paying jobs. However, data from the 2011 Census show that this is not entirely true: between 2001 and 2011, there was a sharp spike in women earning post-graduate, technical and professional degrees. The truth is that, even among educated workers, women continue to bear the brunt of exploitation and discrimination.

‘Women’s Work’: Moreover, the derision extended by Indian society to professions dominated by women also results in the persistence of the wage gap. The jobs of nurses and caregivers, no matter how strenuous, are viewed as 'women's work', which is a euphemism for work that requires little or no talent or skill.

Way Ahead:

Since it is fairly obvious that education alone cannot solve this problem, women need to be made aware of their rights and the minimum wage.

Strong labour market institutions and policies such as collective bargaining and minimum wages lowered the pay gap.

Citing OECD studies, the report observed that “the gender pay gap is smallest (8 per cent) in the group of countries where the collective bargaining rate is at least 80 per cent, and widest in countries with weak collective bargaining and no or very low minimum wages.”


Sunday, January 1

Questions over RBI's Reputation Post-demonetization



QUESTIONS OVER RBI’s REPUTATION POST-DEMONETIZATION; (What’s up with our Twitterati!)


Reputation of RBI through Demonetization Episode:

General confidence in RBI impacted: Right from the RBI central board’s decision to go along with the government and cancel legal tender of high denomination notes to the 60-plus notifications issued since then, the top brass of the apex monetary authority has inspired less confidence with each passing day.

Partially vacant board of RBI: The RBI is wholly owned by the government, and is supposed to have a diverse central board (and regional boards) comprising not only economists and bankers, but persons involved in public policy and civil society. The Modi government has allowed positions on the boards to remain vacant. Over the past three years, the boards of the RBI have been shrinking. The central board that “recommended” cancelling the legal tender status of high denomination notes on 8 November had only four independent members when there should have been 14, and had six executive members when there should have been seven.

Disregarding RTI: The RBI’s refusal to disclose the minutes of the central board meeting that “recommended” cancelling the legal tender of high denomination notes is perplexing. The right to information application for these minutes was turned down. Certainly, there is no need for secrecy now after the unprecedented decision has been taken!

Many Questions Unanswered: The RBI and its governor have done little to address pressing questions that institutions in a democratic country are obliged to answer. Why is the shortage of currency notes more acute in some regions? How is the distribution of new notes being prioritised? Why is the RBI refusing to disclose the reasons for demonetisation?

The government and the RBI owe citizens a much greater degree of transparency and accountability.

Note: Consequences of Severe Cash Shortage in Indian Economy:

* Acute shortage of currency in a cash-based economy such as India’s have meant fewer transactions in general.

* Economic forecasts by private research agencies point out that the short-term consequences of the shortage of cash are causing a shrinkage of economic activity. If these forecasts are anything to go by, the second half of 2016–17 will see a sharp reduction in gross domestic product growth as well.

* News reports suggest that prices in agricultural markets have fallen. The reasons for these fluctuations are not seasonal, but indicative of a shortage of demand.

* With severely limited cash, firms in the informal sector are finding it hard to continue functioning. Those employed in the sector have also suffered, with many migrants being forced to return to their villages.